I think you are spot on, it's not really until January that teams settle and then you see who is going to be a force or a basket case. The two pool system this season because of Covid could be distorting ladder positions at the moment and for the near future.TBH we have been without Matty, Beni and Muller for much of the campaign. I don't rate Macarthur either and believe they will start sliding down. I don't know what to make of the Western nomads - I think they may slide a little as well. City and Victory look to be the top teams but I think we are at least able to compete with them. Jets also look to be better than their table position.
I think we are a decent shout against the Cows on NYE, I hope they keep wining leading up to that match as well. They beat us with a very lucky deflection and we missed plenty of good opportunities.
City and Victory are the real deal and will be there at the pointy end of the season. Western and Cows will benefit from a good start like we did last season. Drive byes will only become a force like they should be if they can sort out their issues however I have my doubts that is possible. It will be a tight finish for the 6 again this season, at the moment we are keeping pace with the pack with plenty of potential for further growth and improvement.
Adelaide and Roar don't look good enough to bounce back from their poor starts, Nix do not have much depth and with a few additions can they settle in to be enough of a benefit. Scum are dangerous however it seems they will struggle with consistency. This period of uncertainty could destroy the Glory's season, make up games when no one else is doing the same will be hard to over come. To be honest I didn't rate the Glory this season anyway.
So I think there are 4 in a great early position so that leaves Shitney, WSW, CCM, Nix and Scum to battle it out for the 6. So 9 or 10 teams fighting it out. We need to minimise throwing away valuable points, so far my count is 2 points from the Cows game as we should have drawn that one at least. I felt we didn't really deserve anything from the Nix loss.